Behind the Picture: ‘Dewey Defeats Truman’ Harry Truman. Second, Truman’s attacks on his opponent, his party and its institutional backers were direct, personal and visceral, earning him the censure of the press and “respectable” politicians alike who recoiled from his “ungentlemanly” methods. As today, the mainstream media overwhelmingly favored the challenger. A significant reason for Dewey’s complacency was that the pollsters gave Truman no chance. When the decision to print this paper was made, returns were coming in very slowly and time was running out before the deadline for the edition. The Progressive and Dixiecrat parties sliced off 5.5% of the popular vote and 7.5% of the electoral vote — a standout electoral performance for minor parties, but ultimately insufficient to swing the election. Dewey Defeats Truman The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul (Book) : Baime, A. J. : On the eve of the 1948 election, America was a fractured country. The governor of New York since 1943, Dewey had unsuccessfully run for president twice before (failing to secure the Republican nomination in 1940, and losing to Franklin Roosevelt in 1944). The Los Angeles Times called him “the most complete fumbler and blunderer this nation has seen in high office in a long time.” Alistair Cooke of the Manchester Guardian published an article on the day of the election entitled “Harry S. Truman: A Study of a Failure.”. Top Rated Seller Top Rated Seller. Only good fortune saved NBC’s mistake from being a “DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN” moment for the burgeoning television age. Harry S Truman Signed Framed 1962 Letter & Dewey Defeats Photo Display JSA . © 2020 Fortune Media IP Limited. Dewey Defeats Truman! As one of Hoover’s assistants put it: “No one in the Bureau gave Truman any chance of winning.”. As well as the obvious similarities, there are many differences. From United States +C $11.46 shipping. Dewey Defeats Truman The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul (Book) : Baime, A. J. : "From the New York Times best-selling author of The Accidental President comes the thrilling story of the 1948 presidential election, one of the greatest election stories of all time, as Truman mounted a history-making comeback and staked a claim for a new course for America." A shift of a mere 29,000 votes of 10,661,000 cast (0.27%) in three critical states would have handed Dewey electoral victory. Photographer: Irving Haberman/IH Images/Getty Images, I can see the headline already: “Biden Defeats Trump.”. Now A.J. Progressive Democrats, getting cold feet over Truman’s record on civil rights and the Cold War, defected with former Vice President Henry Wallace to form the Progressive Party, while Dixiecrats rallied around Senator Strom Thurmond and the States’ Rights Democratic Party. Racism was rampant, foreign relations were … It was hard to understand what Dewey was driving at. He is the founder and managing director of Greenmantle LLC, a New York-based advisory firm. Heading into Election Day on November 2, 1948, it seemed like Thomas Dewey had the U.S. presidency in the bag. Baime is also the author of another great micro-history, “The Accidental President”, also about Harry Truman, and his first four months in office. And it was not only white working-class voters who felt this way. The allure of prognostication is simply too enticing for me to pass up. Yes, as I argued here two weeks ago, I really can see the headline: “Biden Defeats Trump.” Gun to my head, I’d say the probability of a 2008-style blue wave is still roughly double that of a 1948-style upset. There's a famous photo from the 1948 U.S. election showing the re-elected President Truman holding up an inaccurate copy of the Chicago Daily Tribune proclaiming 'Dewey Defeats Truman'. Ironically, this example is a downplay of the trope. 311 likes. Dewey Defeats Truman: The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul by A. J. Baime book review. “You are the government,” Truman told rapt audiences in cornfields and dusty rail towns. When to expect Biden’s $1,400 stimulus check, China’s consumers are turning against the homegrown Big Tech giants they once revered, Business could be on the precipice of an automation explosion, CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice, http://www.djindexes.com/mdsidx/html/tandc/indexestandcs.html. Dewey of course lost and the Democrats … -- Baime, a journalist and the author of “The Accidental President,” brings the epic back on stage with “Dewey Defeats Truman: The 1948 Election and the Battle for America’s Soul,” a straightforward narrative studded with evocative detail and surprising factoids. The Tribune staff, based on the early returns, decided Dewey would be the next President. In Dewey Defeats Truman, A. J. Baime sheds light on one of the most action-packed six months in American history, as Truman not only triumphs, but oversees watershed events—the passing of the Marshall plan, the acknowledgement of Israel as a new state, the careful attention to the origins of the Cold War, and the first desegregation of the military. It is a newspaper front page, dated Nov. 3, 1948, and it carries the immortal headline, “Dewey Defeats Truman.” Like Biden, Thomas E. Dewey was the clear Establishment pick from the start. Dewey’s inability to convert his “unity” platform into votes on Election Day is a cautionary tale for the Biden campaign. Hello, Sign in. C $636.71. Mindful of California’s electoral importance, he picked a Californian running mate, Governor Earl Warren. or Best Offer . President Truman was elected with a comfortable margin of 49.6 percent of the popular vote to Dewey’s 45.1 percent. Navalny Versus Putin Is an Epic, and Existential, Battle, What Navalny’s Arrest Says About the Kremlin, Don’t Let Chief Diversity Officer Be a Dead-End Job. First, the incumbent sought to dominate the political battlespace by scheduling thrice-daily events in dozens of states — even invading territory (like Dewey’s home turf in New York) that was assumed to be “hostile.” Airport rallies and whistle-stops in battleground states (California, Illinois, Ohio and Pennsylvania) leveraged the incumbent’s “populist everyman” image. Appreciable numbers of Latino and black voters did, too. 11/02/2018 12:00 AM EDT. Not only did Truman win the election, he … There were also signs of a late Trump rally in Pennsylvania — I expect him to win in Scranton, Biden’s birthplace — and Arizona. Sherman A1 (33,656 posts) 1. Like Trump, Truman also confronted institutional “deep state” opposition. American elections before the 1960s were highly labor-intensive, with the door-knocking and get-out-the-vote efforts coming largely from volunteer labor — for Democrats, from organized labor; for Republicans, from the Chamber of Commerce. A shift of a mere 29,000 votes of 10,661,000 cast (0.27%) in three critical states would have handed Dewey electoral victory. An election postmortem of America’s leading pollsters concluded that the surveys “left relatively untouched important problems of campaign effort, turnout, state and local politics, and voting behavior as well as the more psychological problems of the formation of preferences, the relation of intention to actual behavior, and the more subtle processes of interviewing.” The pollsters oversampled college-educated voters, who heavily favored Dewey, and undersampled working-class voters, who heavily favored Truman. Funny story written by Stefano M. Stefano. The economy is recovering, but after a savage recession. Indeed, the intraparty schism was worse for Truman than for Trump. Free shipping and pickup in store on eligible orders. A jubilant Harry Truman held up a Chicago newspaper emblazoned with the (erroneous) headline, "DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN," St. Louis, November 4, 1948. Dewey Defeats Truman The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul (Book) : Baime, A. J. : "From the New York Times best-selling author of The Accidental President comes the thrilling story of the 1948 presidential election, one of the greatest election stories of all time, as Truman mounted a history-making comeback and staked a claim for a new course for America." But revisiting 1948 provides a salutary reminder that even bigger upsets have happened in the history of American presidential elections than the one that elected Donald Trump president in 2016. November 3, 2020 by Jason P. Tank, CFA. Hey, didn’t Trump kick the virus’s butt and bounce back to the campaign trail? According to RealClear Politics, Trump support was growing in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Ohio. He represented the moderate Eastern wing of his party, and in 1948 had fended off more ideologically right-wing primary challengers such as Senator Robert A. Taft of Ohio and General Douglas MacArthur. The gun purchase data were the only reliable poll. On Oct. 29, he told a roaring crowd in Queens to “throw the Galluping polls right into the ash can.”. And now the estate of the late Thomas E. Dewey wants to make that a reality. ETF and Mutual Fund data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Dow Jones Terms & Conditions: http://www.djindexes.com/mdsidx/html/tandc/indexestandcs.html. By morning, the headline was proven wrong. DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN is arguably the most famous headline in the history of the Chicago Tribune newspaper and is every publisher’s nightmare on every election night. Dewey gained endorsements from almost every major newspaper in America. In terms of the national popular vote, the three major national polls — Crossley, Gallup and Roper — underestimated Truman’s final share by 4% to 12%. —– [Post-Election Update: I was wrong, especially in the national tone of the election’s outcome. In the months before the 1948 election, the polls gave the challenger comfortable margins of 5 to 15 points. It is a newspaper front page, dated Nov. 3, 1948, and it carries the immortal headline, “Dewey Defeats Truman.” Like Biden, Thomas E. Dewey … FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. Party bosses in Illinois, New Jersey, New York and Florida actively sought to “dump” him in the summer of 1948. (I wasn’t around in 1948, but I vividly remember the stunned facial expressions of my left-leaning Oxford colleagues 28 years ago. The series of “Dewey Defeats Truman” photos has become an icon of tenacity, perseverance, self-confidence and success. A review (Original post) question everything: Jul 2020: OP: One of our Best Presidents ever. By ANDREW GLASS. The Chicago Tribune printed "Dewey Defeats Truman" in reference to this prediction on the front page of its November 3 edition (the day after the election). The governor of New York since 1943, Dewey had unsuccessfully run for president twice before (failing to secure the Republican nomination in 1940, and losing to Franklin Roosevelt in 1944). Arguably the most famous headline in the newspaper’s 150-year history, DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN is every publisher’s nightmare on every election night. One of our Best Presidents ever. It is a newspaper front page, dated Nov. 3, 1948, and it carries the immortal headline, “Dewey Defeats Truman.” Like Biden, Thomas E. Dewey was the clear Establishment pick from the start. It is a newspaper front page, dated Nov. 3, 1948, and it carries the immortal headline, “Dewey Defeats Truman.” Like Biden, Thomas E. Dewey was the clear Establishment pick from the start. As Truman’s defeat was considered certain, nobody bothered to place any Democratic donkeys on the set. Buy the Paperback Book Dewey Defeats Truman by Thomas Mallon at Indigo.ca, Canada's largest bookstore. The Chicago Tribune printed "Dewey Defeats Truman" in reference to this prediction on the front page of its November 3 edition (the day after the election). To name just two, there are fewer undecideds going into the final phase of this election, and there has been unprecedented early mail-in voting. America by 1946 were sick of the Democrats, who had held the US presidency since 1932. But “Dewey Defeats Truman,” from the Chicago Daily Tribune, is perhaps the most memorable headline in American political history, and it is the … On the eve of the 1948 election, America was a fractured country. What was it that secured Truman’s victory and consigned the Chicago Daily Tribune’s headline writers to eternal obloquy? 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